Japanese Firms, Iraq In Deadlock on Nasiriyah Development

February 28, 2010 Iraq, Middle East No Comments

Japan’s consortium that includes Nippon Oil Corp, is at deadlock with Iraq over development of Nasiriyah oil field.  The Iraqi Government has become more reluctant to enter into individual negotiations after awarding concessions to International Oil Companies. The field has the ability to produce up to 600,000 bpd which can be sufficient to account for 10% of japan’s daily oil consumption. (RIGZONE)

Qatar’s RasGas Fires Up LNG Production from New Facility

February 28, 2010 Middle East No Comments

Qatar’s Ras Laffan 3, a 70% Qatar Petroleum 30% ExxonMobil Joint Venture, to start production of RL3 Train 7 with 7.8 million tonnes per year LNG plant.  Qatar continues to develop its vast 900 trillion cubic feet of natural gas from its giant North Field.  (RIGZONE)

Yemen to invest $1.5bn to boost power capacity

February 28, 2010 Middle East, Yemen No Comments

Yemen to invest $ 1.5 billion to boost power generation by 1,400 MW to end constant outages in the country. (AMEinfo)

Saudi, Huntsman launch $288m petchem complex

February 28, 2010 Middle East, Petrochem, Saudi No Comments

Production at Joint Venture between Huntsman Corp and Zamil Group of Saudi has started. The 50-50 JV facility that costed $ 288 million will start production with capacity of 27,215 tonnes per year of ethylene amines. The facility will add 6.5% to global ethylene amines global supply. The product will be marketed by Huntsman in Asia & Europe. (ArabianOilandGas)

The oil service sector positions itself for a big boon in Iraq

February 26, 2010 Iraq, Middle East No Comments

As reported in Al Neft, Oil Service Companies are gearing for Iraq Invasion. The FT EnergySource notes that spending on oil service contracts  in Iraq could grow to as much as as $ 5 billion a year from current $ 500 million.  The margins on Oil company contracts could be as high as 20-40%, far better than the margins that their own clients will enjoy in Iraq. (FT Energy Source)

Emirates Air Denies Abu-Dhabi Bargaining (WSJ)

February 25, 2010 Middle East, UAE No Comments

The Chairman of Emirates Airlines says that the airline was never used as a bargaining chip to obtain Abu Dhabi’s financial help.  The Airline contributes 40 billion dirham to Dubai’s economy and has 150 wide-body aircraft and 8 super-jumbo A 380. (WSJ)

‘Toxic’ Credit Suisse Bonus Pool Rose 72% in ’09 (WSJ)

February 25, 2010 Uncategorized No Comments

In 2009 Credit Suisse distributed shares in what is known as the Partner Asset Facility (made up of toxic assets at the time of mortgage backed securities) to its 2000 investment bankers instead of cash bonuses. The plan was originally billed as a way for Credit Suisse bankers to “eat their own cooking.”  Although the plan was originally groused by CS bankers, the $5 billion pool of toxic assets returned 72% for full year 2009. (WSJ)

Jeff Rubin : Views on Climate Change and impact on Oil Markets & Global Economies.

February 25, 2010 Clean Energy, Video No Comments

Good views in this Video by Jeff Rubin, former Chief Economist at CIBC World Markets on the oil markets, global economy & climate change. He is the author of Why Your World Is About To Get A Whole Lot Smaller.

The major point is that at $150 oil price, Distance will cost money. High Fuel cost coupled with Carbon Tariffs, manufacturing cost advantage of exporting countries like China will cease. Regions such as North America, will have to go back to manufacturing and agriculture at home.

Views On Oil

February 25, 2010 Uncategorized No Comments

The Oil Trader’s blog reports on Schork’s view on the Oil markets.

  • Speculation: Price targets such as Goldman Sachs $85 – 95 per barrel for most of 2010 – has nothing to do with fundamentals. Furthermore, bidding up price of oil will not simulate demand. He cites Wall Street telling clients to buy Oil as a hedge against inflation. As a result, Crude is trading ahead of demand fundamentals.
  • On Refinery margins: With prices too high for demand, refineries are forced to keep product off the market by closing facilitites. The Indusry have taken maters into their own hands. Just look at what is happeing at Total.
  • The Dollar: The inverse correlation between price of dollar & Oil is not as important to investors. The rally in the dollar has more to do with Weak Euro. (Oil Trader`s Blog: Schork`s Views On Oil)

Aref to sell 95% of stake in US GeoGas

February 25, 2010 Kuwait, Middle East No Comments

Aref Energy Holding, a subsidiary of Kuwaiti Investment company Aref Investment Group to sell 95% of its 50% stake in US company GeoGas for $ 117 million.  The company is reported to make $ 70 million profit from the sale. (AMEinfo)

ENOC to expand in exploration, production

February 25, 2010 Middle East, UAE No Comments

ENOC is focusing on Exploration & Production and storage to counter tight margins according to CFO. ENOC which abandoned its bid for the rest of Dragon Oil couple of months ago, reported revenues of $ 8.5 billion down from last years $12 billion. (AMEinfo)

OilMonthly Report – Feb 2010

February 25, 2010 Clean Energy, Research No Comments

Oil Monthly report (can be downloaded as PDF) main points:

  • International Oil Companies over estimate / upbeat future production forecast – gives examples of Petrobras & Shell
  • Bio-Fuels increasing contribution to World Oil Supply. As of January 2010, EIA estimate total biofuels production at 1.93 million b/d with USA being the largest producer with 845,000 b/d followed by Brazil 630,000 b/d.
  • Increased utilization of other unconventional form of liquid fuels such as Biofuels, Extra Heavy Oil, Tar Sands, Natural Gas Liquids and Polar Oil.  Unconventional liquid fuel production constituted 15% to the world’s total liquid fuels production with remaining 85% coming from conventional crude.

… Continue Reading

Algeria says no to spot-market prices for gas

February 25, 2010 Uncategorized No Comments

Algeria’s Sonatrach will not folow Russia’s Gazprom and offer gas at spot prices. The slack gas market is promoting several major players of offering gas at spot prices (immediate delivery instead of established long term contracts) as demand in Europe remains sluggish.

Sonatrach which supplies 20% of Europe’s gas did however say that they may from time to time offer some cargoes on the spot market. Sonatrach’s revenues for full year 2009 was $ 43 billion compared to $ 76 billion in 2008, in line with expectations.(Maktoob Business)

Al Neft > The idea of creating an OPEC like forum for gas producers which was floated around last year was dismissed by Gazprom, the world’s largest gas producer.  At the time they said that the nature of the gas market does not lend itself to the creation of an OPEC like Forum. Nevertheless, Gazprom did say at the time that they will continue to have dialogue with the major Gas producers such as Algeria, Qatar, Iran, Nigeria and Venezuela.

The lack of a Gas OPEC forum and the decline / convergence of LNG gas prices, is promoting producing countries to take market share from each other.  Gas & LNG customers are having plenty of suppliers to choose from. The risk going forward is that the Gas market might become way over-supplied putting further downward pressure on gas prices.   It maybe a good idea for the Gas producing countries to brush up their reading on “Game Theory”.

Regional News Digest

February 24, 2010 Middle East, Saudi No Comments
  • Al Khaleej Gas-Phase 2 (AKG-2) project (JV between Exxon & Qatar Petroleum) started up with 1.25 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) of sales gas capacity aimed at meeting demand from local industry. (Reuters)
  • Rig Rentals hit by oil price drop off (The National)
  • Saudi finds new gas field Jalameed Well 3 with potential to produce 12.1 million cubic feet a day. (AMEinfo)

Market Update

February 24, 2010 Uncategorized No Comments
  • Oil rises on the back of lower US Stockpile and dollar decline.
  • Greece back on the Agenda. Fitch, the rating agency downgraded four of the country’s largest banks to a notch above “junk” status as the country battles severe economic crisis. Greek Woes Spread to Private-Sector Banks – WSJ​.com.
  • Bloomberg reports that Total expect deal to end Refinery Strike in France today. On the other hand, Total is considering selling its 223,000 barrels per day Lindsey refinery in the UK.
  • Oil Search warns on possible LNG glut in Asia as new large projects come on stream in coming years.
  • Exxon Mobile remains bullish on Nigeria (Reuters) amid Shell’s criticism of Nigeria Oil Policy.
  • BreakingViews looks at the Schlumberger‘s acquisition of Smith International and potential to destroy value to its shareholders. Nevertheless, Schlumberger is in desperate need to fill in the gap in its drilling product line and increasing demand from state run oil companies for full-sevice option.
  • Markets

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